Poker-hand analyses

Analyses in Texas Hold’em no limit.

Top pair vs. over-card bluff

Game / Stacks 6-max NLHE $0.50 / $1 – Hero $100 (CO) • BB (loose-aggressive) $100

StreetPotAction & Board
Pre-flop$1.50Hero A♦ J♦ raises $2.50 (CO); BB calls $1.50
Flop$5.50Q♦ J♠ 4♣ – BB checks, Hero bets $3.50, BB calls
Turn$12.503♥ – BB checks, Hero checks behind
River$12.509♣ – BB bets $8, Hero calls (profitable bluff-catch)

• Flop: value-bet top/middle pair + back-door nut-flush draw (≈⅔ pot). • Turn: pot-control & induce bluffs by checking behind blank. • River: call needs 28 % equity; LAG over-bluff range implies call is +EV.

Facing a donk-lead on monotone flop

Game / Stacks 9-handed NLHE €1 / €2 – Hero €280 (BTN) • UTG+1 loose-passive €250

StreetPotAction & Board
Pre-flop€5UTG+1 limps; Hero raises €9 (BTN) with K♣ K♠; UTG+1 calls
Flop€23 9♣ 7♣ 3♣ – UTG+1 donk-leads €15 outcome: Hero raises to €45 (value / info)

• Donk-lead ≈ strong (small flushes, top-pair+club) or blocker-bluff A♣x. • Hero lacks a club and raise €45 to charge draws, fold to shove. • Blank turns: barrel; club turns: pot-control.

Deep-stack triple-barrel value vs. top pair

Game / Stacks 5-max NLHE $2 / $5 – Hero $1 000 (SB) • BTN $1 000 (elite reg)

StreetPotAction & Board
Pre-flop$7BTN opens $12; Hero 3-bets $45 with 8♠ 8♥; BTN calls
Flop$95K♦ 8♦ 2♣ – Hero bets $60, BTN calls
Turn$215Q♠ – Hero bets $140, BTN calls
River$495 4♣ – Hero shoves $750; BTN calls with A♦ K♠ outcome: Hero wins (set)

• Plan: build pot for set value while protecting vs. diamonds/straight cards. • River sizing: over-bet shove polarizes; 2⁄3-pot may earn more calls from Kx. • Deep stack: ensure SPR<2 by river to avoid awkward decisions.

These were some short sample examples of how to analyze a poker hand based on the phases in a hand and the actions of the players.

Written by Oscar Sand

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